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Guesstimate Interview Questions

How much is the annual income of a beggar in Bangalore?

You can assume anything and everything under the Sun, just to try to keep the assumptions close to reality
I always start with an equation, for this question the equation which I assumed was:-

Amount per day * Number of Calendar Days (365)

Assumption 1- A beggar begs all day of the year
Now, I have divided a complete day in 4 parts
6 am to 10 am โ€“ High income
10 am to 4 pm โ€“ Low income
4 pm to 10 pm โ€“ High income
10 pm to 6 am  โ€“ No income 

Assumption 2 โ€“ The beggar will bet more money in slot 1 and 3
Assumption 3 โ€“ Beggar interacts with 500 people in each slot
Assumption 4 โ€“ The success ratio table

SlotSuccess RateNumber of people giving money
6 AM โ€“ 10 AM0.0345
10 AM โ€“ 4 PM0.0115
4 PM โ€“ 10 PM0.0575
10 PM โ€“ 6 AM0.0069
144

Assumption 5 โ€“ Probability of amount, I have safely assumed that 30% people will give Rs.2, 20% will give Rs.5 and 50% will give Rs.1

SlotSuccess RateNumber of people giving moneyAmount
6 AM โ€“ 10 AM0.034594.5
10 AM โ€“ 4 PM0.011531.5
4 PM โ€“ 10 PM0.0575157.5
10 PM โ€“ 6 AM0.006918.9
144302.4

Now we have Rs.302.4 per day income.
Annual amount = 302.4*365 =  Rs. 110,376 It doesnโ€™t matter if the amount is high or low, what matters is that you have an approach to solve the problem. Few more things which you can add here are:-
1. Divide the year into seasons
2. Divide year into weekend and weekdays
3. Public Holidays

Keep Learning ๐Ÿ™‚

Nitin Kamal

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